Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)
IAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualClaude Saga 18.8%Líder entre 18 opciones
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39
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado14 jun 26, 2:36 UTC31 dic 29, 15:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Anthropic names Claude model tiers with single words: poetic forms first (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus), then narrative/myth forms (Fable, Mythos).
- This market tracks which new words join that series.
- Each answer is a candidate in the form "Claude [Word]".
- Add your own.
- Answers are independent, so more than one can resolve YES.
- An answer resolves YES when its word first appears as an official Claude tier or family name in any of: the Anthropic model docs (docs.claude.com), an anthropic.com blog or launch post, or a live API model string.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Claude Saga al 19% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)?
- Está previsto que Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Anthropic names Claude model tiers with single words: poetic forms first (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus), then narrative/myth forms (Fable, Mythos).