Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Anthropic (99%)
Resuelto: 1 jul 2026, 0:05
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Procedencia de la liquidación
- Resultado vigente
- Anthropic
- Registrado
- 25 jul 2026, 8:31
- Observaciones
- 1
- Revisiones
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Pronóstico comunitario actualAnthropic 99%+10.2ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 días
Desactualizado4 feb 26, 19:2130 jun 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Google4.5%
OpenAI6.3%
xAI0.6%
Anthropic99%
Meta0.5%
Alibaba0.2%
DeepSeek0.3%
Other0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Anthropic
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of June?
0.5 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Anthropic (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+16 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total19,6 M €
Volumen 24h5,6 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Polymarket
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
0.1 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Anthropic (100%)
+77.0pt100%
-0.6pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total1,5 M €
Volumen 24h5,6 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg