Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 jun 2026, 16:43 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actualBefore June 2026 0%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 días
Desactualizado25 abr 26, 17:5625 ago 26, 17:53
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before July 20261%
Mercados Relacionados
Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
438,7 €Sí: 23%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions
228,1 €[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms (Nate: 85%): 90.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat is Quroe's favorite animal?
214,9 €❌Defeated: Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Brown Rat]: 0.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
317,2 mil €↑ $70: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 13, 2026?
217,5 mil €Above $74.99: 31%
KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
170,6 mil €December 31: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphReglas
Resolves based on when yao ye beats me in codeforces rating.
- Before [month name] means before midnight of the first of that month.
- Resolves "After August 2026" if he hasn't beaten me in rating by 8/1/2026 midnight.
- yao ye is highly orz
- started cp last year already USACO gold/expert level
- his cf is https://codeforces.com/profile/RninverseC