When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
IAManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 7:20 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualOther 26.4%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
48
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado3 ago 23, 10:42 UTC3 ago 23, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will True Detective Season 5 be released before The Winds of Winter? (George R. R. Martin's next Game of Thrones Book)
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWinds of Winter released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Winds of Winter be released
Manifold MarketsWill "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiReglas
It has been a long time coming.
- I am expecting an announcement first by GRR Martin, and then a release date thereafter.
- Subject of this question is the release date i.e. can actually buy it, as opposed to announcement.
- Dates can include Posthumous publication with input from other writers such as with wheel of time finale.
- I'll add some more year options as I get the budget, so "other" will shrink as the options increase, while still including "never".
- Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Will resolve when on publication date (rather than announcement)