Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
>= 2032 39.5%Líder entre 7 opciones
>= 2032 39.5%Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado9 ene 24, 3:23 UTC1 ene 33, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiReglas
Crewed landing.
- Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If SpaceX does not land on the moon by 2032, this market will resolve to ">= 2032" (even if SpaceX never lands on the moon).
