Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualbefore Mar 31, 2028 79%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 56 minutos
Retrasado30 dic 25, 11:58 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if he makes an official public announcement that she is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by him or an authorized spokesperson that he is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
