When will peaceful democratic transition of power happen in Russia for the first time?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónRusia / Ucrania3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Before 2050 37.4%Líder entre 5 opciones
Before 2050 37.4%Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 24, 15:35 UTC2 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
So far at no point in Russian history has the power in the country transitioned to the opposition as a result of a democratic election.
- All power transitions happened either to a designated successor, or within the same party or political force, or via some sort of revolution or regime change.
- Will peaceful transition of power happen for the first time in foreseeable future?
- For this market to resolve positively, the following has to happen:
- A candidate not endorsed by the ruling party or force has to win in the presidential elections.
- They should assume office within the next few months after the elections.
