Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Pronóstico comunitario actualBefore August 2026 100%+1.0ptLíder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 días
Desactualizado5 nov 25, 14:1920 jul 26, 18:49
Cronología de Probabilidad
Before December 20250%
Before January 20260%
Before February 20260%
Before March 20260%
Before April 20260%
Before May 20260%
Before June 20260%
Before July 20260%
Before August 2026100%
Before September 2026100%
Before October 2026100%
Before November 2026100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Before August 2026
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 242,2 € | 3,6 mil € | hace 10 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 6 días |
También disponible en Polymarket
Kimi K3 released by which date?
0.4 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
July 31 (100%)
+0.4pt100%
-0.5pt0%
-0.7pt0%
+1 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoLiquidez media
Volumen total54 mil €
Volumen 24h242,2 €
POLYMARKETReglas
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Kimi K3.5', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @cstO2OAIhZ (this market)
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1.2k11 jul5d de datos16 jul
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Minor changes to the name, such as 'Kimi K3.5', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @cstO2OAIhZ (this market)