Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualbefore Mar 31, 2028 82.9%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado6 ene 26, 6:39 UTC31 dic 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
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ForecastExReglas
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if JB Pritzker makes an official public announcement that he is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by JB Pritzker or an authorized spokesperson that he is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will JB Pritzker announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza before Mar 31, 2028 al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will JB Pritzker announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- Está previsto que When will JB Pritzker announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will JB Pritzker announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria