Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNever announces a 2028 presidential run. 65%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado24 dic 25, 11:57 UTC31 dic 28, 11:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurReglas
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if AOC makes an official public announcement that she is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by AOC or an authorized spokesperson that she is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Never announces a 2028 presidential run. al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- Está previsto que When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce her run for presidency for the 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria