Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEsperando resolución verificada: 2026
Resuelto: 23 oct 2026, 4:05
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 23 oct 2026, 17:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
20251%
202699%
20277.5%
20285.3%
Later/Never2.8%
2026Resultado pendiente
2025Resultado pendiente
2027Resultado pendiente
2028Resultado pendiente
Later/NeverResultado pendiente
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PolymarketReglas
Self-explanatory
- Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve to the first year that a >90% score is reported on the benchmark.
- Subsequent years will resolve to no.
- Initialization:
- Probabilities are set by Manifold and may not necessarily add up to 100%.