Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 41.9%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado9 ago 26, 2:56 UTC1 ene 35, 3:53 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolves to year Donald Trump dies.
- He will be 87 in 2033, so Other is 88 or older at the time of this market creation.
Mercados abiertos
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- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Donald Trump die??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 42% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Donald Trump die??
- Está previsto que When will Donald Trump die? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Donald Trump die??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to year Donald Trump dies.