Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2029 or later 67.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado15 mar 26, 17:46 UTC15 mar 28, 17:41 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Currently Elon has $830 billion and Bill Gates has $104.8 billion.
- Bill has just over 12.6% of the net worth of Elon Musk.
- If Bill Gates stayed at $105 billion then Elon would need $1.75 trillion.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on Forbes' 2026 World Billionaires List and subsequent annual lists.
- As of the 2026 list, Elon Musk has $839 billion and Bill Gates has $108 billion, meaning Gates currently holds approximately 12.9% of Musk's net worth.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes?
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2029 or later al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes?
- Está previsto que When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes se resuelva el 15 de marzo de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Currently Elon has $830 billion and Bill Gates has $104.8 billion.