Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2029 or later 67.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado15 mar 26, 17:46 UTC15 mar 28, 17:41 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Mark Zuckerberg has a higher net worth than Elon Musk before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be cryopreserved?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiReglas
Currently Elon has $830 billion and Bill Gates has $104.8 billion.
- Bill has just over 12.6% of the net worth of Elon Musk.
- If Bill Gates stayed at $105 billion then Elon would need $1.75 trillion.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on Forbes' 2026 World Billionaires List and subsequent annual lists.
- As of the 2026 list, Elon Musk has $839 billion and Bill Gates has $108 billion, meaning Gates currently holds approximately 12.9% of Musk's net worth.