When will an AI system autonomously build and operate a production software platform serving 1,000+ active users?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualBefore Dec 2032 48.4%Líder entre 9 opciones
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3
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado28 feb 26, 1:44 UTC28 feb 27, 1:43 UTC
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Domain-Specific AGI in software engineering: a single AI system takes a novel product spec and autonomously architects, builds, deploys, and operates a production-grade platform (auth, scaling, monitoring, CI/CD, security, database — at least 3 of 6) for 1,000+ active users over 60 days, handling ops autonomously.
- No human code contributions or debugging.
- Independently verified.
- Full methodology and definitions: https://www.future-shock.ai/research/agi-predictions
- Future Shock ensemble prediction: March 2027 (±6 months).
- Also submitted to Metaculus.
