Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
2026 43.8%Líder entre 8 opciones
2026 43.8%Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+3.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado11 ene 24, 1:34 UTC1 ene 31, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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The resolve year will be the year I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion.
- I will try my best to be impartial, and I will use my judgement.
- (edit: once I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, I will conduct a poll on Manifold asking if AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, and resolve Yes to the year if the poll has more vote on Yes than No)