When will a single AI system demonstrate autonomous expert-level performance across 3+ fundamentally different domains?
IAOne-Off14a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualBefore Dec 2039 84.2%Líder entre 9 opciones
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado28 feb 26, 1:53 UTC1 ene 41, 6:59 UTC
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Multi-Domain AGI: one model (same weights, no domain-specific fine-tuning) demonstrates autonomous expert-level performance in 3+ fundamentally different domains (e.g., software engineering, scientific research, legal/medical/financial professional services).
- Must complete substantive end-to-end professional tasks autonomously, not just answer questions.
- Each domain verified by independent expert panels in blinded evaluation.
- Exam-based domains require 90th percentile scores.
- Full methodology: https://www.future-shock.ai/research/agi-predictions
- Future Shock ensemble prediction: October 2027 (±6 months).
