Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Gold (31.5%)
Resuelto: 14 ago 2026, 2:31
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualSilver 32.4%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-32.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado23 jul 26, 15:238 ago 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Gold31.5%
Silver32.4%
Bronze14.5%
HM12.1%
Nothing3.6%
I don't do the contest5.8%
32.4%
31.5%
14.5%
12.1%
5.8%
3.6%
Reglas
Yes I am participating in IOI 2026, for more information check IOI 2026 participant list, at the very bottom.
- No more questions about Israel participation at IOI!
- I have participated at IMO 2024, 2025, 2026, and have won bronze, gold, gold respectively.
Mercados abiertos
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 3167%
- October 31-3.5pt42%
- September 30+2.0pt28%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 15,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 353,2 mil €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt42%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 25+1.0pt96%
- August 31+2.0pt88%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 31-0.1pt0%
- August 150%
- Volumen total
- 19,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 219,3 mil €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt34.5%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt26.6%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt12.4%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-4.0pt62%
- December46%
- September 30,-3.5pt19%
+8 resultados más
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will I get in IOI 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Silver al 32% a fecha de 20 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will I get in IOI 2026??
- Está previsto que What will I get in IOI 2026? se resuelva el 8 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will I get in IOI 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Yes I am participating in IOI 2026, for more information check IOI 2026 participant list, at the very bottom.