Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
$1.6–3.2 trillion 56.2%Líder entre 9 opciones
$1.6–3.2 trillion 56.2%Pronosticadores
51
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado11 dic 23, 19:17 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
Manifold MarketsAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $2-3T)
Manifold MarketsAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the valuation of Anthropic at the end of 2026, according to (in order) 1) the current market capitalization if there was an IPO, 2) the valuation of the most recent priced round or acquisition, if publicly known and <6 months old, or 3) the price of the most recent non-public deals on secondary markets, as determined by my own research and with adjustments for fees (currently: $27b).