What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?
Entretenimiento
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualA book in the main ASOIAF series (ie a sequel to “A Dance with Dragons”, eg “The Winds of Winter”) 49.2%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 25, 17:11 UTC31 dic 49, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold MarketsWill the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Manifold MarketsWill the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiReglas
George R. R. Martin has released a number of works in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” (ASOIAF) universe since his 1996 novel “A Game of Thrones”.
- The most recent work in the universe was “Fire & Blood”, an in-universe history book published in 2018, while the main series of ASOIAF novels is still unfinished, with five of a projected seven novels published.
- Martin’s age (he was born in 1948) and slow progress with the books has led to concerns among fans that the main series and “Dunk and Egg” novellas will not be finished.
- This market resolves to the next book or story (eg a short story in an anthology) officially written by Martin (possibly with a collaborator or collaborators) and released within his lifetime.
- Books and stories must have substantial new content (eg a book consisting of an extract of “Fire & Blood” would not count), though they may overlap (eg a second volume of “Fire & Blood” would likely have some content in common with “The World of Ice and Fire”).
- An official release is needed, so leaks would not count.