When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Entretenimiento4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 55.5%Líder entre 8 opciones
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81
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado20 dic 23, 15:25 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
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0.5%
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Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
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KalshiReglas
This question focuses specifically on "The Winds of Winter".
- The condition would be fulfilled if the title matches or has resemblance to "The Winds of Winter", such as "A Few Winds of Winter", "The Winds of Snow" or "The Tornados of Winter".
- Simply having a sixth book isn't sufficient to resolve this market yes.
- If a notably different title is utilized, I'd rely on George R.R. Martin's or his publisher (in case of death) statements and media reports to determine if the content planned for the sixth book aligns with or resembles what was envisioned for "The Winds of Winter".
- For instance, if Martin decided to write another book in between and published it as the sixth book of "A Song of Ice and Fire" series, this question would remain unresolved.
- It must be published in an unlimited edition or a limited edition with at least 100 000 books.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 56% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published??
- Está previsto que When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question focuses specifically on "The Winds of Winter".