When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Entretenimiento4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 55.5%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
81
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado20 dic 23, 15:25 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiReglas
This question focuses specifically on "The Winds of Winter".
- The condition would be fulfilled if the title matches or has resemblance to "The Winds of Winter", such as "A Few Winds of Winter", "The Winds of Snow" or "The Tornados of Winter".
- Simply having a sixth book isn't sufficient to resolve this market yes.
- If a notably different title is utilized, I'd rely on George R.R. Martin's or his publisher (in case of death) statements and media reports to determine if the content planned for the sixth book aligns with or resembles what was envisioned for "The Winds of Winter".
- For instance, if Martin decided to write another book in between and published it as the sixth book of "A Song of Ice and Fire" series, this question would remain unresolved.
- It must be published in an unlimited edition or a limited edition with at least 100 000 books.