Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual85° S 30.6%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 minutos
21 abr 26, 3:36 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official landing coordinates of the first Artemis mission to successfully land (presumed Artemis IV) as confirmed by NASA.
- The winning answer will correspond to the degree of southern latitude of the actual landing site.
- Latitudes always round down.
- If the landing mission does not occur (e.g., if the mission is cancelled), the market will resolve to N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from NASA press releases or official mission reports available at nasa.gov.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 85° S al 31% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing??
- Está previsto que What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria