Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
2028 26%Líder entre 12 opciones
2028 26%Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado4 jul 24, 18:19 UTC12 jul 35, 3:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
- Resolves when official financial reporting is available, showing their revenue minus expenses was positive for OpenAI, in any year.
- Resolves that year to "Yes" and all other options to "No".
- We can add more years if they are still running but haven't made a profit yet.
- If they go out of business first, then we resolve to "the named outcome".