Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualLabour 35%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado3 may 25, 6:26 UTC15 ago 29, 6:18 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
Manifold MarketsHow many parties will win more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Restore Britain win the most seats at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiReglas
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election
- This market will resolve to the percentage of seats for each party.
- In 2024 Labour won 411 seats (out of 650), so their answer would resolve to 63% I hope that's clear.
- If a party wins less than 1% of seats they will resolve to 0%, no rounding up in that case!
