Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 22 oct 2026, 2:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualDemocrat 60%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 26, 19:41 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kansas?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Arkansas?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Dakota?
PredictItReglas
Republican: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Republican Party wins the presidency.
- Democrat: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Democratic Party wins the presidency.
- Third-Party: Resolves YES if any candidate who is not the nominee of the Republican or Democratic Party (including Independents, Libertarians, Green Party candidates, etc.) wins the presidency.
- If the election is delayed, the market will remain open until the election is resolved.
- If the election is canceled, or the office of the President is abolished or structured such that there is no single winning candidate, the market will resolve as N/A.
