Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct) 60.7%
Líder entre 14 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+54.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado
11 dic 24, 16:3731 ago 27, 21:59
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Critically Endangered
0.5%
Data Deficient
0.4%
Least Concern
0.3%
Near Threatened
0.3%
Vulnerable
0.3%
Endangered
0.3%
Extinct in the Wild
0.3%
Not Evaluated
0.3%
New Conservation Status
0.3%
No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons
0.3%
Reglas
The Baiji, a species of freshwater dolphin native to the Yantze River system in China, is currently listed as the named outcome (possibly extinct) on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.
It was last assessed in August 2017.
This market will resolve based on the conservation status assigned to the Baiji by the IUCN in its next Red List assessment.
The target resolution date is August 2027 (10 years after the last assessment).
However, resolution might occur earlier or later, depending on when the next assessment takes place.
The possible outcomes align with the official IUCN Red List categories: the named outcome, the named outcome, Vulnerable, Endangered, the named outcome, the named outcome, Extinct, the named outcome, the named outcome.
Preguntas frecuentes
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment??
Manifold Markets cotiza Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct) al 61% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment??
Está previsto que What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment? se resuelva el 31 de agosto de 2027.
¿Cómo se liquida What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The Baiji, a species of freshwater dolphin native to the Yantze River system in China, is currently listed as the named outcome (possibly extinct) on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.