Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 24 jul 2026, 17:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Pronóstico comunitario actualBelow 350 million 100%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado anteayer
Desactualizado6 may 26, 12:1831 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
100%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Below 150 million9%
Tendencia de volumen
$8523 jul2d de datos24 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
342,6 €Sí: 3%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
0 €Before April 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
0 €Sí: 5%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
146,1 mil €December 31: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
75,2 mil €December 31: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
15,5 mil €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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How much will US draw down on its petroleum reserves to ease the price shock from the Iran war?
- The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of April 24th is 397.9 million barrels, down from 415 million pre-war.
- President Trump authorized the Department of Energy to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, beginning next week.
- This will take approximately 120 days to deliver based on planned discharge rates (March 11th, https://www.energy.gov/articles/united-states-release-172-million-barrels-oil-strategic-petroleum-reserve)
- This market resolves based on the values officially reported by EIA - currently at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ under "Petroleum Balance Sheet".
- Directly at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table1.pdf (will update if the source changes).