US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualConnie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins 79%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado13 may 26, 16:10 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.
- For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.
- Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.