Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBrad Finstad 74.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+4.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado5 sept 25, 20:5231 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?
- Outcomes: • the named outcome (R – incumbent) • the named outcome (DFL – challenger) • the named outcome (Independent challenger) • Other (for any certified write-in or late-filing candidate)
- Definition of winner: The candidate who receives the most votes in the official certified results of the November 3, 2026 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District.
- Source of truth: Official results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (or, if unavailable, Associated Press or other widely recognized election authorities).
- Time: Resolution will occur after certification, expected December 2026.
- Edge cases: • If the election is postponed, the market will remain open until certification. • If recounts occur, the market will resolve according to the final certified outcome. • If a candidate withdraws or is disqualified before the election, their option will still be valid but will resolve “NO” if they do not win. • If no resolution is possible (e.g., court-ordered rerun without certification), the market may resolve N/A, but every effort will be made to resolve to an actual outcome.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt65.7%
- Ralph Norman+5.0pt25.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 11,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 947,9 mil €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%
- Jon Ossoff16.4%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.4%
+44 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 160,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 resultados más
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 591 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Volumen total
- 20,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 500,4 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Brad Finstad al 75% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026??
- Está previsto que Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?