Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%Líder entre 3 opciones
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%Pronosticadores
55
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado26 may 24, 12:05 UTC28 abr 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
Manifold MarketsWill a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiReglas
The UK will have a general election on 4th July.
- The Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is also the MP for Richmond (Yorkshire).
- He is expected to win his seat but lose his majority.
- At this point, it is expected that he will resign or be removed as the leader of the Conservative Party with the new leader of the party taking over as the Leader of the Opposition (assuming they’re even the second biggest party - see @/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9 )
- Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP once he steps down? He recently promised in an interview on Loose Women that he would, but this was the same interview where he said that there would not be a summer election!
- If Sunak is returned to Parliament and serves out his full term as an MP (whether or not he is still PM or LOTO, and even if there is a very early election), this market will resolve to the YES option.
