Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 80%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 25, 20:59 UTC1 ene 30, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Donald Trump attempts to withdraw from NATO
Manifold MarketsTrump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump attempts to reduce DARPA funding by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiTexas Governor winner?
Kalshi2026 Texas Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Reglas
According to a YouGov poll 52% believe that Trump "definitely" or "probably" will attempt a 3rd term.
- Resolves YES if there is clear and unequivocal evidence that Trump:
- Runs for a 3rd presidential term
- Attempts to subvert the 22nd Amendment in any (serious) way (e.g. through executive orders, trying to change the constitution, legal challenge, or campaigning)
- Prevents a peaceful transition of power
- Tries in some serious way to stay in power past January 20, 2029
