Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 83.3%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado6 abr 25, 22:23 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolves a YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has attempted to use AGI to stay in power after the end of his second term.
- This attempt must occur before January 1st 2030 in order for this question to resolve as YES.
- This market does not resolve before January 1st 2031.
- Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - AGI Definition: Follow the definition provided in this question.
- Minimum Compute Requirement: The attempt must involve at least 100 kWh of inference compute using an AGI-class model.
Mercados abiertos
US Politics
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term??
- Está previsto que Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves a YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has attempted to use AGI to stay in power after the end of his second term.