Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:37 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 81%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado1 abr 26, 16:01 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a Tesla robot physically walks on the lunar surface at any point during 2028.
- Resolution requires:
- Confirmation from NASA, SpaceX, or Tesla official sources that a Tesla robot unit was transported to the Moon
- Video or photographic evidence showing the robot walking (not rolling, being carried, or stationary) on the lunar surface
- The walking must occur during calendar year 2028