Will an American walk on the Moon during Trump's second term?
PolíticaOne-OffEspacioPolítica de EE. UU.China2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado20 jun 25, 3:25 UTC20 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an American astronaut walks on the Moon between January 20, 2025, and January 20, 2029.
- Verification will be based on official NASA announcements and reputable news sources.
- NASA's Artemis program aims to return humans to the Moon.
- Artemis III, the mission intended to achieve this, has faced multiple delays.
- As of December 2024, NASA announced a postponement of Artemis III to mid-2027 due to technical challenges, including heat shield issues on the Orion capsule.
