Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 43.6%Líder entre 25 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 feb 26, 8:54 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- NASA officially expects Artemis III to launch no earlier than 2028.
- CNSA have said they will land on the Moon before the end of 2030.
- The market resolves to the month in which the next human successfully lands on the Moon.
- Resolution will be determined by official NASA or CNSA announcements.
- The landing must involve at least one human touching the lunar surface, ie leaving their lander.