Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual≥$1.75T 100%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 54 minutos
Retrasado21 may 26, 19:10 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic above 40T valuation on June 14 2027
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
