SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
Política de EE. UU.IAOne-Off
Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: No (70%)
Resuelto: 11 oct 2026, 21:36
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
20%
A 24 horas
62%
ConsensoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 14 oct 2026, 0:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes31.4%
No68.6%
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketIn the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsComprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurReglas
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
- [image] Update 2026-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is resolving the market to NO.