Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 93.7%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado7 nov 25, 12:03 UTC1 ene 27, 12:03 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Sarah Friar remains the chief financial officer of OpenAI on January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official OpenAI announcements, SEC filings, or major news sources confirming her employment status on that date.
- If Friar departs before January 1, 2027 and is replaced, the market resolves NO.
- If she takes a leave of absence but retains the CFO title, the market resolves YES.
- Sarah Friar has been the chief financial officer of OpenAI since June 2024.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 182,3 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 resultados más
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- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
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Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027??
- Está previsto que Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria