Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado30 mar 26, 12:33 UTC1 ene 27, 11:31 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
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FutuurWill Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular be charged with another felony?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves according to this Polymarket:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 182,3 mil €
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- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
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+8 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
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+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
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- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
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+5 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve [Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison??
- Está previsto que [Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida [Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves according to this Polymarket: