Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 73.8%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 59 minutos
Retrasado17 feb 24, 1:46 UTC1 jul 29, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will OpenAI be worth less than $250 billion (in Jan 2025 dollars) at any point before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI flips the script and buys or takes over Microsoft by mid 2031
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?
Manifold MarketsMicrosoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketStripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketReglas
The English word "worth", not the SEC term "valued at".
- If a huge number of people or amount of money clearly believes that 1% of OpenAI is worth more than 1% of ms, and this is sincere, then YES
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 96,6 mil €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 74% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029?
- Está previsto que OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029 se resuelva el 1 de julio de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The English word "worth", not the SEC term "valued at".