Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60.9%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado17 abr 25, 10:49 UTC1 ene 27, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
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This market predicts whether a fatal domestic dispute, where the primary cause is the use of OpenAI's memory-using chatbot, will be reported by December 31, 2026.
- A spousal or relationship conflict, one between cohabiting siblings, or between legal guardian or estranged parent and child would qualify.
- "primarily involving OpenAI's memory-using chatbot" The greatest single cause of the dispute involving frequency of use, permissions, or the deletion of the offender's stored memory by the victim would all cause this market to resolve as YES.
- OpenAI has enhanced ChatGPT with persistent memory capabilities, allowing it to remember user preferences and context across sessions.
- While this feature aims to improve user experience, it raises concerns about extended agency and parasociality.
- The Sewell Setzer III incident would NOT cause this market to resolve YES, as this would not be considered a dispute.