OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
RegulaciónIAOne-OffEventos corporativosNegocios y empresasTecnología14a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.6%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado22 nov 25, 0:30 UTC31 dic 40, 23:59 UTC
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According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI either collapses (becomes insolvent or ceases operations) or is acquired by another company before completing an initial public offering.
- Resolution is based on public announcements from OpenAI, acquiring parties, or regulatory filings (SEC filings, bankruptcy court documents).
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully completes an IPO.
- If OpenAI files for IPO but the offering is withdrawn or fails to complete, the market resolves YES.
