On January 1st 2027, will I think Dulce Consuelo Diaz Morales is obviously a US citizen?
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Sociedad y cultura2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 62.6%
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado13 feb 26, 23:08 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
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DHS had detained Diaz Morales, who claims to be a US citizen; their official statement is that she is Mexican with no legal status in the US.
- As of the time of writing, she is temporarily released with an ankle monitor and check-ins with ICE.
- [tweet]https://www.newsweek.com/ice-detains-maryland-woman-us-citizen-claims-dhs-denies-11257159
- Resolves YES if I think she is obviously a US citizen on January 1st 2027.
- Update 2026-02-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarifies that the resolution standard is whether they think it's "obviously" a US citizen - a higher standard than just thinking it's true.
- The creator acknowledges this is a subjective judgment that may be difficult for traders to verify or predict, and that they could potentially weigh evidence wrongly at resolution time.
