Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (99%)
Resuelto: 7 oct 2026, 19:53
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 8 oct 2026, 9:36 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes99%
No1%
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will "American Government Takes Down Claude Fable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Claude Fable model use encrypted compaction?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
If they release simultaneously, I will likely resolve this NO since that would be literally true given the title as stated, but I didn't consider that edge case originally.
