Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualWet weather // D wins by 0%-2% margin 15.6%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado25 ene 26, 2:13 UTC2 nov 28, 1:02 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
This market asks two questions: What the Republican/Democrat margin of victory will be in the tipping point state for the 2028 US POTUS election, and whether the weather will be wet in the state on election day.
- The criteria for what counts as rainy weather will be:
- Look at the top 5 cities in the state by population
- Check if it precipitated in those cities according to the citywide weather icon for election day on Weather Underground
- Is the answer is "yes" for most of the people in those cities?
