Mail-in ballots eliminated by 2026 midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20269d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:05 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 98.3%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado19 ago 25, 15:40 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Colorado Amendment 84 (ID requirement for mail ballots) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsHow many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested?
KalshiWill the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?
FutuurWill USPS reject at least 100,000 mail ballots due to Trump's executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any ballot boxes or mail in ballots be confiscated in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution Criteria
- YES if, by November 3, 2026, no U.S. state offers general mail-in or absentee voting for federal elections (House or Senate).
- Limited carve-outs (e.g., for military personnel, overseas voters, or voters with specific disabilities) are still allowed and do not prevent a YES resolution.
- If even one state allows general mail-in voting for its resident population, this resolves NO.
- Laws passed but not implemented by Election Day do not affect resolution.
- Clarifications