Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 56.9%
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27
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado5 jun 24, 0:58 UTC1 ene 31, 4:59 UTC
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$100B AI training cluster before 2029?
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PolymarketReglas
In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner estimates that the largest training clusters will cost over one trillion dollars around 2030.
- Clarifications:
- $1T worth of computers and associated data center infrastructure (e.g. building, cooling, networking; does not include the cost of the power plant)
- Computers must be networked together and training one model.
- They do not need to synchronize weights at each gradient step.
- Value of data centers will be estimated with reasonable depreciation.
Mercados abiertos
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de $1T AI training cluster before 2031??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve $1T AI training cluster before 2031??
- Está previsto que $1T AI training cluster before 2031? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida $1T AI training cluster before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner estimates that the largest training clusters will cost over one trillion dollars around 2030.