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Desactualizado5 jun 24, 0:50 UTC1 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
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In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner estimates that the largest training clusters will cost hundreds of billions of dollars around 2028.
- Clarifications:
- $100B worth of computers and associated data center infrastructure (e.g. building, cooling, networking; does not include the cost of the power plant)
- Computers must be networked together and training one model.
- They do not need to synchronize weights at each gradient step.
- Value of data centers will be estimated with reasonable depreciation.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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- 135,2 mil €
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- 102,7 mil €
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
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- 9,1 M €
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de $100B AI training cluster before 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve $100B AI training cluster before 2029??
- Está previsto que $100B AI training cluster before 2029? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida $100B AI training cluster before 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner estimates that the largest training clusters will cost hundreds of billions of dollars around 2028.