¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2028?

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 74.8% a fecha de 30 de octubre de 2026.

Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2028

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 74.8%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 22 horas

Desactualizado

26 oct 25, 10:10 UTC31 ene 28, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market predicts whether Kalshi will offer any sports prediction contracts (such as team championships, game outcomes, etc.) during January 2028.

Kalshi began offering sports contracts in January 2025 after self-certifying them with the CFTC.
Since then, they've faced legal challenges from multiple states, with mixed results in court.
Some federal courts have ruled that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling laws (Nevada, New Jersey), while others have ruled in favor of state regulation (Maryland).
The market will resolve YES if Kalshi offers at least one sports-related prediction contract (defined as a prediction on a sports team to win or lose a sporting event) at any point during January 2028.
It will resolve NO if Kalshi offers zero sports-related prediction contracts during that month.