Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 5:08 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.6%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado15 nov 22, 18:45 UTC1 ene 00, 5:00 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves once I have the opportunity to view the Earth from space and can confirm the answer directly with my own eyes.
- I'll require that we be in orbit or otherwise going "around" the Earth so that I can confirm it's actually a ball and not just a circle.
- Upper atmosphere or a brief suborbital trajectory is not conclusive.
- I need to be able to see the continents changing as my perspective changes.
- I'll do my best to ensure that I'm looking through a real window and it couldn't secretly be a TV screen.