Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado29 mar 26, 21:11 UTC30 dic 26, 20:10 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketCalifornia Governor winner? (Person)
KalshiReglas
Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.
- If he announced it was a stunt to see which conservatives would support him.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt70.3%
- Yes+5.0pt29.7%
- Volumen total
- 14,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 759 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt13%
+48 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change60.8%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt36.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt64%
- October 31+2.0pt37%
- September 3017%
+17 resultados más
KALSHIBlanchet vs Harris
- Ugo Blanchet55.5%
- Billy Harris44.5%
- Volumen total
- 378,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 263,3 mil €
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Is James fishback a stunt??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Is James fishback a stunt??
- Está previsto que Is James fishback a stunt? se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Is James fishback a stunt??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.